Metallurg Lipetsk vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
KOS
0 - 1
MET
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 0
MET
20%
25%
56%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
LOK
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
ZNA
2 - 3
MET
12%
21%
67%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
MET
3 - 0
NIM
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ZEN
3 - 0
LOK
40%
28%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
ZNA
2 - 3
ZEN
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
ZEN
4 - 0
NIM
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
APO
1 - 2
ZEN
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
ZEN
4 - 0
ORE
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |