Metallurg Lipetsk vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
73.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2010 |
MET
2 - 1
TOR
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
DIN
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
FKG
3 - 1
MET
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
MET
4 - 3
VIT
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 0
MET
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
FCR
1 - 0
SPA
23%
25%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2010 |
ALA
5 - 2
SPA
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
SPA
3 - 0
ANZ
77%
15%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
PER
0 - 2
SPA
28%
27%
46%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 0
NAL
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |