Metallurg Lipetsk vs FC Saturn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
STR
2 - 3
MET
14%
22%
65%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
MET
1 - 2
SAL
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
MET
0 - 3
ZAN
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
MET
2 - 0
FKF
85%
12%
4%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MET
3 - 0
ZVE
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SAT
1 - 0
FMV
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
STR
1 - 0
SAT
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
SAT
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
SAT
0 - 3
KOL
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2020 |
YAR
1 - 1
SAT
77%
17%
7%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |