Metallurg Lipetsk vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
7º
33
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
35 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
46 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 9 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 9 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
MET
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MET
1 - 3
ZEN
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
CHA
15%
21%
65%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ZVE
2 - 0
MET
19%
24%
58%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FPP
3 - 0
MET
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -3 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KAL
0 - 1
SAT
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
ZEN
3 - 0
KAL
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -3 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
KAL
1 - 3
FKK
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KHI
0 - 2
KAL
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KAL
3 - 1
SKA
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |