Metallurg Lipetsk vs Gubkin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
LOK
2 - 1
MET
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
MET
1 - 3
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
MET
3 - 0
POD
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 0
MET
64%
22%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
MET
2 - 2
ORE
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
FKG
0 - 0
POD
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 0
FKG
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
FKG
2 - 1
ORE
45%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
KAL
0 - 1
FKG
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
FKG
1 - 0
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |