Metallurg Lipetsk vs Forte Taganrog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KAL
5 - 2
MET
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
FKK
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 0
MET
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MET
4 - 2
SAT
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Forte Taganrog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
DMK
3 - 0
FOT
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
FCR
4 - 2
FOT
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FOT
0 - 1
CHE
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 0
FOT
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BIO
1 - 1
FOT
30%
25%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |