Metallurg Lipetsk vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
MET
0 - 1
SPA
9%
17%
74%
|
42 | 83 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2010 |
MET
2 - 1
TOR
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
DIN
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
FKG
3 - 1
MET
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
MET
4 - 3
VIT
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
FAK
0 - 0
LOK
41%
28%
32%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2010 |
ZNA
0 - 1
FAK
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2010 |
FAK
5 - 0
NIM
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
APO
3 - 1
FAK
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
FAK
2 - 1
ORE
29%
27%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |