Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
MET
0 - 2
MET
20%
24%
57%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
SOK
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
ZVE
0 - 2
MET
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
FAK
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
KAL
4 - 1
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
AVA
0 - 3
SOK
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FAK
2 - 2
AVA
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 4
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
AVA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 1
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |