Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Metalist Kharkiv vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalist Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
KPT
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
RIJ
1 - 2
MET
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
DNI
2 - 0
MET
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
OBO
0 - 2
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
FCM
1 - 2
MET
19%
27%
54%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
NKV
1 - 1
RIJ
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
RIJ
1 - 2
MET
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
RIJ
6 - 0
LOK
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
RIJ
3 - 0
DIF
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
DIF
1 - 0
RIJ
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |