Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 1-0
Metalist Kharkiv vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalist Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SUM
0 - 1
MET
12%
21%
67%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
RCH
0 - 0
MET
25%
25%
49%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
HOV
68%
20%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 0
MET
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MET
1 - 2
DYN
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RCH
0 - 0
LPO
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
RCH
0 - 0
MET
25%
25%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PGL
0 - 1
RCH
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WIS
2 - 2
RCH
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ESB
2 - 2
RCH
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |