Europa League Fase Final Last 16
Global 3-3
Metalist Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalist Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MET
0 - 3
SHA
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
DYN
1 - 0
MET
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
LVI
1 - 1
MET
20%
26%
55%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
MET
0 - 2
DYN
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
MET
2 - 0
SAM
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MEZ
1 - 3
DYN
22%
25%
54%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
DYN
1 - 0
MET
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
DYN
4 - 1
VOR
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
MET
0 - 2
DYN
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 2
DYN
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |