Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 4-1
Metalist Kharkiv vs Dinamo Bucureşti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalist Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MET
3 - 1
KRY
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
DBU
0 - 2
MET
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HOV
0 - 3
MET
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MED
2 - 2
MET
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Bucureşti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DBU
2 - 1
PET
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
DBU
0 - 2
MET
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
DBU
33%
25%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DBU
0 - 2
FCB
7%
16%
78%
|
79 | 98 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 2
DBU
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |