Metalist 1925 Kharkiv II vs Chernihiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+128%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
10º
10º
22
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 39 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 33 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 31 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 30 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 27 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 25 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 24 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 20 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 13 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 10 |
10º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NYV
3 - 2
MKI
74%
16%
10%
|
8 | 50 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MKI
1 - 3
KOL
14%
17%
69%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MKI
2 - 3
FCL
12%
16%
72%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MKI
1 - 2
OLE
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HSP
3 - 2
MKI
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
FKC
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FKC
0 - 0
OLE
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 1
FKC
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FKC
0 - 0
FKT
62%
20%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NYV
0 - 1
FKC
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |