Metalac GM vs Zemun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
MLA
1 - 0
MET
51%
29%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
MET
1 - 1
RAD
33%
29%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
RAD
0 - 0
MET
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MET
0 - 0
SRE
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
SLO
0 - 3
MET
53%
26%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
ZEM
2 - 1
BSK
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
RAD
1 - 2
ZEM
24%
27%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ZEM
0 - 1
VOZ
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ZEM
1 - 1
BEO
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
JAV
4 - 2
ZEM
57%
26%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |