Metalac GM vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VOJ
1 - 0
MET
75%
19%
7%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NAP
2 - 0
MET
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
MET
3 - 0
MLA
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FKS
0 - 0
MET
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MET
2 - 0
BEA
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SME
1 - 0
NAP
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
RAD
3 - 2
SME
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SME
0 - 1
FKS
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
BSK
1 - 0
SME
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SME
2 - 0
CEL
77%
16%
6%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |