Metalac GM vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
5º
2º
30
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 11 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 11 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MET
4 - 3
SLO
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
MET
62%
21%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
JED
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TKS
1 - 1
MET
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
NOV
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 0
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FKZ
0 - 1
RAD
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 1
ZEL
26%
29%
45%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
RAD
79%
14%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
VRS
0 - 1
RAD
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |