Metalac GM vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MET
2 - 1
BOR
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SLO
0 - 2
MET
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
TEL
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TKS
1 - 1
MET
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
MET
2 - 0
FKB
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NPA
0 - 3
JAV
24%
28%
47%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FKZ
2 - 0
NPA
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
JAV
3 - 0
NPA
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NPA
0 - 1
SIN
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
BUD
3 - 0
NPA
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |