Metalac GM vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MET
3 - 0
SIN
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 2
MET
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MET
3 - 0
CEL
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TSC
0 - 2
MET
19%
31%
50%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 0
MET
29%
30%
42%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BUD
1 - 1
NPA
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NPA
2 - 1
DVR
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BEA
2 - 0
NPA
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NPA
1 - 1
RNS
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
RAD
1 - 0
NPA
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |