Metalac GM vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
RAD
2 - 1
MET
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
MET
1 - 4
JAG
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CRV
2 - 0
MET
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
PAR
16%
23%
60%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MET
3 - 3
BEO
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 0
NPA
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NPA
1 - 3
MLA
44%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
JAV
1 - 1
NPA
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
NPA
0 - 2
JAV
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RAD
2 - 0
NPA
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |