Metalac GM vs Moravac Mrštane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 1
MET
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MET
0 - 0
KOL
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
RAD
3 - 0
MET
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
MET
0 - 0
RAD
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
MET
0 - 2
MLA
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moravac Mrštane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
INI
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BAK
2 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
MOR
5 - 2
TRG
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MOP
1 - 0
MOR
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
TIM
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |