Metalac GM vs Kolubara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
RAD
3 - 0
MET
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
MET
0 - 0
RAD
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
MET
0 - 2
MLA
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
DOL
1 - 0
MET
27%
32%
42%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
SME
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kolubara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
KOL
2 - 2
TUR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
SRE
2 - 0
KOL
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
KOL
2 - 2
BUD
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 0
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
KOL
0 - 0
SMJ
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |