Metalac GM vs Kolubara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BZR
1 - 2
MET
41%
29%
29%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
RNS
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RNP
0 - 1
MET
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TEL
2 - 1
MET
57%
26%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kolubara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KOL
0 - 2
ČUK
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 0
KOL
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 1
JED
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
TIM
2 - 0
KOL
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
KOL
4 - 0
NOV
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |