Metalac GM vs Jagodina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 3
MET
24%
30%
46%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
BAC
66%
22%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
BUD
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
DVR
1 - 2
MET
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
MET
0 - 0
BEA
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 1
BUD
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
DVR
3 - 0
JAG
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 2
BEA
20%
26%
55%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
RNS
6 - 0
JAG
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
JAG
0 - 0
RAD
39%
26%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |