Metalac GM vs Jagodina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CRV
2 - 0
MET
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
PAR
16%
23%
60%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MET
3 - 3
BEO
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BEO
1 - 0
MET
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
MLA
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 2
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MLA
2 - 0
JAG
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
RNS
0 - 1
JAG
30%
26%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
JAV
1 - 1
JAG
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 1
RAD
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |