Metalac GM vs Bežanija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
NPA
2 - 0
MET
17%
28%
56%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
RAD
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BOR
0 - 1
MET
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
MET
7 - 0
SLO
80%
15%
6%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 3
MET
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bežanija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BEA
1 - 2
JAV
29%
29%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
FKZ
0 - 3
BEA
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BEA
3 - 0
SIN
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
BUD
3 - 0
BEA
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
INI
2 - 0
BEA
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |