Metalac GM vs Bežanija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
27.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MLA
2 - 1
MET
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MET
3 - 1
MLA
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
INI
2 - 1
MET
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MET
0 - 2
VOZ
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 0
MET
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bežanija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BEA
0 - 1
ČUK
47%
28%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 2
BEA
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BEA
1 - 2
JED
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TIM
1 - 0
BEA
28%
30%
43%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BEA
3 - 1
NOV
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |