Mestre vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DCA
0 - 1
MES
24%
22%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MES
3 - 3
VIR
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GIO
1 - 5
MES
21%
22%
58%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MES
7 - 2
SAC
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
URF
1 - 1
MES
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VNZ
2 - 0
TAM
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
LEV
0 - 2
VNZ
10%
18%
72%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VNZ
2 - 0
CAM
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 2
VNZ
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ABA
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |