Mestre vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
MES
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MES
1 - 2
ACE
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
FON
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
MES
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MES
1 - 2
TAM
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
TAM
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 1
TRI
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAM
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CNO
0 - 0
TRI
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 2
ABA
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |