Mestre vs Ambrosiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CLO
2 - 0
MES
39%
28%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MES
0 - 3
CAM
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 3
MES
11%
17%
73%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MES
0 - 1
ACE
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAT
0 - 1
MES
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GSD
0 - 1
CAR
32%
24%
43%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GSD
1 - 4
CAL
27%
22%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
DEL
0 - 1
GSD
61%
22%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ADB
2 - 1
GSD
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
GSD
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |