Mestre vs Spinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MES
0 - 4
DEL
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MES
2 - 3
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CJA
2 - 2
MES
35%
24%
42%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SDA
1 - 5
MES
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MES
3 - 2
VIR
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Spinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SPI
1 - 1
CAL
10%
18%
72%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DEL
3 - 1
SPI
80%
14%
7%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SPI
0 - 3
MON
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |