Mestre vs Cjarlins Muzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
DEL
0 - 1
MES
29%
25%
47%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MES
2 - 4
CHI
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
MES
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MES
0 - 2
CAM
59%
22%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MES
3 - 2
SDA
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cjarlins Muzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CJA
1 - 3
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SGS
3 - 0
CJA
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CJA
4 - 0
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CLO
2 - 0
CJA
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 2
CJA
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |