Mestre vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BV5
0 - 2
MES
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RAV
2 - 1
MES
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MES
4 - 3
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MES
3 - 2
FER
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
SSS
0 - 2
MES
58%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 1
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
BV5
1 - 2
PAD
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
PAD
0 - 2
TER
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 1
PAD
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 0
RAV
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |