Messiniakos Kalamata vs Ethnikos Piraeus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messiniakos Kalamata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
KAS
2 - 0
MES
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MES
4 - 0
NIK
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
GIA
4 - 0
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MES
1 - 0
PFC
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TRI
1 - 0
MES
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ethnikos Piraeus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
AGR
3 - 0
ETH
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ETH
0 - 1
THR
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PAN
1 - 0
ETH
27%
29%
43%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ETH
2 - 1
VER
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
KAL
1 - 1
ETH
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |