Messiniakos Kalamata vs Asteras Tripolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messiniakos Kalamata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ILI
3 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MES
2 - 0
PAN
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
MES
3 - 0
ATS
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +5 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ASR
2 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
MES
0 - 0
PAN
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAN
18%
27%
55%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
TRI
0 - 0
IRA
17%
27%
56%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
XAN
2 - 0
TRI
63%
25%
12%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TRI
0 - 1
LAR
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
AGR
1 - 1
TRI
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |