ACR Messina vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
SAM
3 - 1
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
FCC
3 - 1
MES
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
MES
2 - 2
USF
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
MES
1 - 1
COS
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
VIC
1 - 0
INT
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
VIC
1 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
USA
1 - 1
VIC
42%
25%
32%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
FIO
1 - 1
VIC
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |