ACR Messina vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
MES
2 - 0
VER
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
MES
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
MES
0 - 1
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
PAV
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 1
ASS
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 0
VIC
64%
20%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
USA
0 - 2
VIC
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 1
COM
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
SAL
2 - 1
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |