ACR Messina vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
MES
0 - 1
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 1
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MES
1 - 1
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIC
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
FAN
3 - 1
VIC
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1953 |
TRE
0 - 0
VIC
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
VIC
2 - 0
ATP
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |