ACR Messina vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VER
0 - 0
MES
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MES
1 - 0
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
MES
31%
28%
40%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
ATL
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
SAL
0 - 3
MES
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 2
CAG
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 0
VNZ
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
VNZ
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VNZ
0 - 0
TRE
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
4 - 0
VNZ
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |