ACR Messina vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RAA
1 - 0
MES
14%
23%
64%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
APR
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
MES
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -3 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MES
1 - 0
ARZ
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TUT
1 - 1
MES
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
USF
3 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
7%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TUT
2 - 2
USF
21%
22%
56%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
USF
15%
21%
64%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
USF
0 - 2
VIG
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
USF
23%
24%
54%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |