ACR Messina vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
TRI
1 - 1
MES
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
MES
3 - 1
VER
37%
31%
32%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
MES
1 - 1
ANC
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
USF
1 - 0
USC
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
BRE
0 - 0
USF
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
USF
1 - 0
MOD
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
COS
1 - 1
USF
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
USF
1 - 1
REG
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |