ACR Messina vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
32%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
35%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 1
MES
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
32%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
POT
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
PIS
1 - 0
USF
41%
30%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
USF
1 - 0
GEN
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 1
USF
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
USF
1 - 1
VNZ
65%
23%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |