ACR Messina vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ACM
2 - 0
MES
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
CAT
4 - 2
MES
58%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
MES
3 - 3
BOL
25%
29%
46%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
MES
0 - 1
INT
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
GEN
2 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
GEN
1 - 0
USF
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
USF
1 - 2
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ATL
1 - 0
USF
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
MAN
0 - 0
USF
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
USF
3 - 2
INT
15%
24%
61%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | +1 |