ACR Messina vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
21.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MES
43%
30%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MES
3 - 1
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
MES
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
MES
28%
32%
41%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
MES
2 - 0
CAG
54%
25%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
USC
1 - 1
GEN
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 2
USC
40%
33%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
USC
0 - 0
LAZ
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
CES
1 - 2
USC
50%
29%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
TAR
70%
21%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |