ACR Messina vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
VER
3 - 0
MES
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
MES
1 - 1
CAT
58%
20%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
MES
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
MES
1 - 3
VIC
61%
20%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
MES
2 - 1
SAL
58%
21%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
USC
4 - 1
REG
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
USC
5 - 2
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SAL
0 - 0
USC
64%
20%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
USC
2 - 2
PIS
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
VIC
0 - 0
USC
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |