ACR Messina vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
51%
27%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
COS
0 - 0
MES
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
32%
30%
38%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 0
TAR
43%
30%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
AVE
50%
28%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 0
BOL
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
CAS
0 - 0
AVE
39%
30%
31%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 2
PIS
30%
30%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |