ACR Messina vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
SAV
70%
21%
9%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 2
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MES
1 - 1
PAD
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
MES
2 - 0
REG
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
USA
1 - 1
REG
51%
28%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ARZ
3 - 0
USA
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
USA
2 - 2
MOD
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
VER
1 - 1
USA
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
USA
0 - 2
FCC
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |