ACR Messina vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
TRE
0 - 2
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
SAL
3 - 3
MES
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
MES
1 - 2
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
MES
2 - 0
PAD
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
PAL
1 - 0
USA
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
USA
0 - 0
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
TRE
2 - 0
USA
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
USA
1 - 0
TAR
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
USA
0 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |