ACR Messina vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
MES
4 - 3
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
MES
2 - 0
PIA
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ACS
0 - 1
MES
12%
20%
68%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 0
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
MES
0 - 3
EMP
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ARZ
1 - 1
UDI
24%
25%
52%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
ABN
1 - 2
UDI
19%
24%
58%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 4
UDI
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 41 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
TRE
2 - 1
UDI
15%
23%
62%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
UDI
2 - 0
CAG
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |