ACR Messina vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
PES
1 - 0
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
MES
0 - 1
BOL
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
MES
3 - 2
VNZ
48%
28%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
CES
0 - 0
MES
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
UDI
0 - 0
ASL
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
TAR
0 - 0
UDI
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
UDI
2 - 2
COS
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
AVE
1 - 1
UDI
36%
30%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
UDI
1 - 0
ANC
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |