ACR Messina vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
CAG
1 - 1
MES
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
MES
2 - 1
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
MES
4 - 1
VER
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
PRO
0 - 1
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
COS
1 - 0
UDI
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
UDI
0 - 3
GEN
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
UDI
1 - 1
BOL
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
JUV
2 - 3
UDI
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
PAL
1 - 3
UDI
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |